Price Pays
Monday, October 27, 2025
Only price pays, and investors have been buying stocks as earnings season picks up following consistent earnings beats. Meanwhile, read-throughs support the AI story.
Relative Change
Monday, October 20, 2025
The strong earnings results and guidance have continued this earnings season, and earnings are likely to remain strong in the coming weeks, but it is all about relative change.
Guidance Story Remains
Monday, October 13, 2025
The early read-through in October bodes well for earnings in the coming weeks, but not so much for prices.
Market Memory
Monday, October 6, 2025
The market's memory creates support and resistance areas, as well as how stocks tend to move in anticipation of upcoming earnings.
The Days of Awe
Monday, September 22, 2025
It is the weakest time of the year for stock prices, and there are some fundamental reasons for this, but trade what you see, not what you think.
Aligned
Monday, September 15, 2025
Top-down sentiment data and bottom-up fundamental data are giving similar indications for the overall stock market, but all you really need to do is follow the path of least resistance.
Cyclical v Secular
Monday, September 8, 2025
It isn't the monthly jobs report that is important, but rather the revisions… but so is GDP
Probably Not Different
Tuesday, September 2, 2025
It probably isn't different this time, and the jobs report could confirm it, but there are indications that things are, in fact, different, and businesses are seeing it.
AI Week
Monday, August 25, 2025
Roughly 20% of the companies reporting earnings this week are AI-related names. These stocks have generally lagged post-earnings, which has created some worry among investors ahead of the results.
The After Earnings Season
Monday, August 18, 2025
Overall, stock prices are weaker outside of earnings season than during earnings season, but what they tell us during earnings season changes that.