Seeds of Change
Tuesday, January 20, 2026
By some measures, the past three years have been one of the weakest periods since the Great Depression. There are signs of change, and this has a positive implication for earnings.
Seasonality & Pre-announcements
Monday, January 12, 2026
The overall stock market performance is boosted during earnings season when pre-announcements are positive.
Big Bets
Monday, January 5, 2026
The jobs report finally gets caught up with its regular schedule, and it comes with large bets in the market, seemingly dependent on these numbers.
It is Time to get Busy
Monday, December 15, 2025
The release of delayed economic data should paint a better economic picture and help the S&P 500 move out of its range. Plus, there are red flags for the hyperscalers.
Still the Same
Monday, December 8, 2025
Despite weak ADP employment numbers, the story hasn't changed yet, but the FOMC announcement might do it.
Fundamentals, Macro, and Sentiment
Monday, December 1, 2025
The fundamentals remain positive, and earnings are trending higher, but investors haven't bought into it.
The Nvidia Warning
Monday, November 24, 2025
Investor sentiment in Technology stocks is at Liberation Day lows, and Consumer Sentiment has hit record lows, yet AI is accelerating, and the consumer continues to spend.
Bifurcation
Monday, November 17, 2025
The middle-income cohort is shrinking, and the market is bifurcating, but nothing has turned… yet.
Anatomy of a Bubble
Monday, November 10, 2025
Guidance favors a year-end PEAD, and the anatomy of a bubble.
A Tale of Two Markets
Monday, November 3, 2025
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of AI.