Panicked Analysts
Monday, May 5, 2025
Analysts have been as indecisive as we've seen them, resulting in a rapid decline in estimates for 2025.
Recession Head Fake
Monday, April 28, 2025
There are breadth thrusts, but then there are recession head fakes, and this one comes just ahead of downside risks to payrolls.
The Great Pause
Monday, April 21, 2025
Companies are pausing spending, hiring, and now AI investment as they wait out uncertainties.
One Step Closer
Monday, April 14, 2025
The market has taken one step closer to our base case for 2025, and the price action seems to confirm it.
The Fear Trade
Monday, April 7, 2025
The fear trade might not be what you think it is.
Two Weeks to the Banks
Monday, March 31, 2025
It is time to start looking ahead to earnings season, with the Banks kicking things off in less than two weeks.
Front-running Tariffs
Monday, March 24, 2025
Industrial Production in the U.S. has finally surpassed 2018 highs, which supports the case for a sustained bull market, but for now, this appears to be front-running tariffs.
Sentiment
Monday, March 17, 2025
It is all about sentiment for now.
The 200-Day Dilemma
Monday, March 10, 2025
There was another time when a disappointing trade deficit coincided with the overall stock market hitting the 200-day moving average.
Pull Forward
Monday, March 3, 2025
The coming tariffs have caused a pullforward that is likely to become a strong tailwind for GDP starting now