AI Week
Monday, August 25, 2025
Roughly 20% of the companies reporting earnings this week are AI-related names. These stocks have generally lagged post-earnings, which has created some worry among investors ahead of the results.
The After Earnings Season
Monday, August 18, 2025
Overall, stock prices are weaker outside of earnings season than during earnings season, but what they tell us during earnings season changes that.
Weak PEAD
Monday, August 11, 2025
Investors have been selling the news this earnings season, resulting in the weakest near-term Post-earnings Announcement Drift in three years. That hasn't been the tell you might think.
The Story Remains
Monday, August 4, 2025
Seasonality becomes less favorable in the second half of earnings season now that everyone knows what to expect, but the story is still there.
Still About Guidance
Monday, July 28, 2025
Earnings guidance remains the story this earnings season, but seasonality becomes less favorable just as the payroll data hits on Friday.
All About Guidance
Monday, July 21, 2025
Earnings guidance is the primary story to start earnings season, and is potentially telling us more about the cycle than just upcoming earnings.
Earnings Season Seasonality
Monday, July 14, 2025
Earnings season has its own seasonality, and the earnings guidance so far in July adds support for the trade.
Breadth
Monday, July 7, 2025
Breadth remains the story ahead of earnings season.
Resilient
Monday, June 23, 2025
Despite the recent retail sales miss, the consumer remains resilient, and the economy continues to track above estimates, which supports continued upward estimate revisions ahead of earnings season.
The Market Makes the News
Monday, June 16, 2025
Despite rising geopolitical tensions, market internals remain little changed, and, ultimately it is the market that makes the news.